White Moving Plans in a Racially Changing Middle-Class Community

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Abstract
Two assumptions commonly held by planners regarding racially changing communities are tested: (1) that racial changes are accompanied by a speed-up in white outmigration, and (2) that these areas are most likely to retain the highly educated household heads. Telephone interviews were conducted in an area in Philadelphia encompassing a racially changing community and a stable, predominantly white community. Bivariate cross tabular analysis and multi-variate regression analysis are utilized to identify the determinants of moving plans. White residents are shown to accelerate their moving plans in response to racial changes; education is not a significant factor in holding families to the changing community. Therefore, most localistic stabilization policies are likely to have only a limited potential for success, whereas metropolitan-wide policies aimed at dispersing black families are more likely to improve the long-range prospects for stabilizing mixed communities.

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