Management of Unruptured Intracranial Arteriovenous Malformations
- 1 April 1992
- journal article
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Neurosurgery
- Vol. 30 (4) , 561-569
- https://doi.org/10.1227/00006123-199204000-00015
Abstract
The management of unruptured intracranial arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) is controversial. Some authorities favor elective excision of the AVM before it bleeds, whereas others advise nonintervention unless the AVM bleeds, at which time surgical excision is performed in those who survive. A Markov model was developed that stimulates a clinical trial in which cohorts of patients with unruptured AVMs were assigned to either elective excision of their AVMs or conservative treatment (unless the AVM bled). Incremental utilities for both strategies were calculated at the end of each year after the beginning of the trial and are expressed as quality and risk-adjusted life years. The process was continued until all members of the cohorts had died. The mean quality and risk-adjusted life expectancy for members of a cohort was calculated by dividing the total number of quality and risk-adjusted life years the cohort had accumulated by the size of the cohort. If the baseline values for surgical complications were used in the computation, the quality and risk-adjusted life expectancy for the surgical cohorts was at least 1 quality and risk-adjusted life year greater than for nonsurgical cohorts up to age 44. If a more favorable complication rate were used, elective surgery could benefit selected patients in their early 60s when the location and configuration of the AVM was favorable. Elective surgical resection is justified in many instances before rupture, particularly in young patients who have intracranial AVMs that have a favorable location, size, and venous drainage.Keywords
This publication has 19 references indexed in Scilit:
- Decision Analysis: A Tool of the Future: An Application to Unruptured Arteriovenous MalformationsNeurosurgery, 1989
- Treatment of unruptured cerebral arteriovenous malformationsNeurology, 1987
- Is surgical therapy needed for unruptured arteriovenous malformations?Neurology, 1987
- Arteriovenous malformations of the brain: natural history in unoperated patients.Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, 1986
- The management of cerebral arteriovenous malformationsActa Neurochirurgica, 1985
- Natural History of Arteriovenous Malformations of the Brain: A Clinical StudyNeurosurgery, 1984
- The Markov Process in Medical PrognosisMedical Decision Making, 1983
- APPLICATION OF DECISION ANALYSIS TO MANAGEMENT OF CEREBRAL ARTERIOVENOUS MALFORMATIONThe Lancet, 1983
- Bleeding from cerebral arteriovenous malformations as part of their natural historyJournal of Neurosurgery, 1983
- Arteriovenous malformations of the brainJournal of Neurosurgery, 1972