Search for a relationship between solar cycle amplitude and length
Open Access
- 5 December 2002
- journal article
- research article
- Published by EDP Sciences in Astronomy & Astrophysics
- Vol. 396 (3) , 1029-1035
- https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361:20021436
Abstract
The cross-correlation between time series of solar cycle length and amplitude suggests that the length precedes the amplitude. The relationship between the two is found to be more complex than a simple lag or phase shift, however. A simple empirical model is constructed which allows the amplitude of a given cycle to be predicted with relatively high accuracy from the lengths of earlier cycles. This result not only adds to the means at our disposal for predicting the amplitudes of future cycles, but also implies that the solar dynamo carries a memory of the length of one cycle over into the next. It may also have a bearing on why solar cycle length correlates better with the Earth's temperature record than cycle amplitude (Friis-Christensen & Lassen [CITE]). Thoughts on possible physical causes are presented.Keywords
This publication has 33 references indexed in Scilit:
- Stochastic Fluctuations in a Babcock‐Leighton Model of the Solar CycleThe Astrophysical Journal, 2000
- A Babcock‐Leighton Flux Transport Dynamo with Solar‐like Differential RotationThe Astrophysical Journal, 1999
- Time series, neural networks and the future of the SunNew Astronomy Reviews, 1998
- Panel achieves consensus prediction of solar cycle 23Eos, 1997
- Observations of changes in the bolometric contrast of sunspotsThe Astrophysical Journal, 1994
- Length of the Solar Cycle: An Indicator of Solar Activity Closely Associated with ClimateScience, 1991
- Asymmetries and wavelengths of solar spectral lines and the solar rotation determined from Fourier-transform spectraSolar Physics, 1984
- Decomposition of Hardy Functions into Square Integrable Wavelets of Constant ShapeSIAM Journal on Mathematical Analysis, 1984
- Preferred longitudes of sunspot groups and high-speed solar wind streams: Evidence for a ?solar memory?Solar Physics, 1983
- Is there a chronometer hidden deep in the Sun?Nature, 1978