Probability Predictions of Geostrophic Winds

Abstract
A network sampling theory developed previously is used to obtain limiting probabilities of geostrophic wind components predicted at 500 mb in several synoptic cases. Analogous probabilities are calculated for the kinetic energies of these components. Data are from an earlier study described in this Journal. An example of wind-probability forecasts is presented. Theoretical and empirical probabilities are found to agree satisfactorily. These results and others are discussed.