Splitting the Difference? Causal Inference and Theories of Split-party Delegations
- 1 January 2006
- journal article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Political Analysis
- Vol. 14 (4) , 439-455
- https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpj010
Abstract
We provide an introduction to the regression discontinuity design (RDD) and use the technique to evaluate models of sequential Senate elections predicting that the winning party for one Senate seat will receive fewer votes in the next election for the other seat. Using data on U.S. Senate elections from 1946 to 2004, we find strong evidence that the outcomes of the elections for the two Senate seats are independent.Keywords
This publication has 25 references indexed in Scilit:
- Dynamic Responsiveness in the U.S. SenateAmerican Journal of Political Science, 2005
- Economic Impacts of New Unionization on Private Sector Employers: 1984-2001The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2004
- Evaluating the Effect of Tax Deductions on TrainingJournal of Labor Economics, 2004
- Coordination and Policy Moderation at MidtermAmerican Political Science Review, 2002
- Coordination, Moderation, and Institutional Balancing in American Presidential and House ElectionsAmerican Political Science Review, 2000
- Explaining Divided U.S. Senate Delegations, 1788–1996: A Realignment ApproachAmerican Political Science Review, 1998
- EVIDENCE ON ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY IN THE U.S. SENATE: ARE UNFAITHFUL AGENTS REALLY PUNISHED?Economic Inquiry, 1996
- Sequential Choices and Partisan Transitions in U.S. Senate Delegations: 1972-1988The Journal of Politics, 1995
- Estimating Incumbency Advantage without BiasAmerican Journal of Political Science, 1990
- Toward a More General Theory of RegulationThe Journal of Law and Economics, 1976