PEDIATRICIANS' ASSESSMENTS OF THE INTELLIGENCE OF TWO-YEAR-OLDS AND THEIR MENTAL TEST SCORES

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Abstract
We have explored the agreement between pediatricians' appraisals of intelligence and the mental test scores of a group of 681 two-year-olds born during a specified time period on the Island of Kauai. Only a modest agreement was found between the two types of appraisals but a detailed consideration of the later school performance of children assessed as below normal by either or both methods indicates that (a) the prognosis is poor for children assessed as below normal by both methods; (b) low test scores at two years are somewhat what predictive and should not be entirely discounted and (c) most important, the test scores would appear to be valuable to the pediatrician who does not want to err in the direction of giving a poor prognosis for a child who may later prove capable of adequate if not superior academic performance; (d) predictions for boys should be somewhat more guarded than for girls at this age period.

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