Conflict and Coercion in Dependent States

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Abstract
This paper puts forward an action-reaction model of the interaction between civil conflict and state coercion in nations undergoing dependent development. Using graphical techniques and dynamic analysis of difference equations, the conflict-coercion relationship is explored analytically and its implications drawn out. The primary findings are twofold: (1) the intensity with which both state and opposition react to each other is of vital importance, and (2) the external system plays a significant role in accounting for differences in national time paths.

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