Coherence, Calibration, and Expertise in Judgmental Probability Forecasting

• 1 January 1994
• journal article
• Published by Elsevier in Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
• Vol. 57  (1) , 1-25
• https://doi.org/10.1006/obhd.1994.1001

Abstract

Keywords

• PROBABILITY JUDGMENTS
• COHERENCE
• RATED EXPERTISE
• JUDGMENTAL PROBABILITY FORECASTING
• SUBSEQUENT PERFORMANCE