Epidemiology of African horse sickness and the role of the zebra in South Africa

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Abstract
Zebra are the only equine species native to South Africa. These animals roamed over much of the country in the 17th century when horses and donkeys were first imported. The first cases of African horse sickness (AHS) then occurred in the horses of hunters who entered zebra territory. AHS continued to occur on a country-wide basis until the beginning of the 20th century, though the number of outbreaks decreased as the populations of zebra collapsed through overhunting. For most of the 20th century almost all free-living zebra have been confined to the north-eastern parts of South Africa which are now the only areas in the country where AHS is endemic; though when climatic conditions are favourable, temporarily, it spreads beyond these areas. The minimum size of a zebra population necessary to maintain a focus of AHS virus is unknown but the small, isolated populations that have inhabited the majority of South Africa for most of the 20th century are apparently insufficient to maintain the virus in the long term. In this context, the restocking of many parts of the country with zebra should be viewed with caution since conditions may be generated that will facilitate the re-establishment of permanent foci of AHS virus.

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