The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?

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Abstract
As human population and material consumption increase in coming decades, scarcities of natural resources will intensify in some regions. A society's ability to adapt to these scarcities is influenced by its ability to supply enough ideas or ''ingenuity.'' As scarcity worsens, some poor societies will face a widening gap between their need for and their supply of ingenuity. In particular, the supply of social ingenuity (in the form of new and reformed institutions) will be vulnerable to stresses generated by the very scarcities ingenuity is needed to solve. A society with a serious and chronic ingenuity gap will face declining social wellbeing and perhaps civil turmoil.

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