The Use of Parole Prediction with Institutionalized Narcotic Addicts

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Abstract
This report describes the application of the parole prediction model to two cohorts of parolees with histories of narcotic addic tion and suggests an evaluation strategy for determining the relative effectiveness of different treatment approaches for dif ferent types of addicts. Narcotic users released to the supervision of the New York State Division of Parole were followed for one year on parole. From this experience, the configuration of variables most related to successful parole outcome were derived. The find ings of a complementary study of California addict parolees tended to enhance the predictive ability of the over all model, although difficulty was encountered in determining the predictive stability of the suggested variables.

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