Long-Range Projection of Forest Area Change: New Approaches are Needed

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Abstract
Timberland acreage in the United States has been declining for several decades, yet the relative contribution of various determinants has not been quantitatively estimated. Projected trends in products markets are sensitive to future forest area assumptions, which affect relative financial returns from investments. Long-term land area change is thought to be determined largely by economic processes, and incorporating such factors into an explicit model for forest area change is needed to improve projections of natural resource supplies.

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