Principles and Methods of Calculation of Probability of Loss of Generating Capacity
- 1 December 1967
- journal article
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems
- Vol. PAS-86 (12) , 1467-1479
- https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAS.1967.291910
Abstract
This paper presents the mathematical methods and their underlying principles for calculating the probability of outages of generating equipment by the loss of capacity method. An analysis is presented of observable data and their relation to derived quantities. Equations are developed for various types of generating units. The methods described are applicable to the evaluation of any number of interconnected systems. Formulas are included for probabilities of multiple full outages as well as combinations of full and partial outages. The mathematical methods are the basis of a computer program in use by the Commonwealth Edison Company for studies of generating capacity requirements.Keywords
This publication has 4 references indexed in Scilit:
- Proposed Definitions of Terms for Reporting and Analyzing Outages of Generating EquipmentIEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1966
- Computer Analysis of Outage DataIEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1964
- Determination of Reserve-Generating CapabilityTransactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems, 1958
- A New Approach to Probabliity Problems in Electrical EngineeringTransactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers, 1946