JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING
- 1 February 1998
- journal article
- review article
- Published by Annual Reviews in Annual Review of Psychology
- Vol. 49 (1) , 447-477
- https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.psych.49.1.447
Abstract
▪ Abstract For many decades, research in judgment and decision making has examined behavioral violations of rational choice theory. In that framework, rationality is expressed as a single correct decision shared by experimenters and subjects that satisfies internal coherence within a set of preferences and beliefs. Outside of psychology, social scientists are now debating the need to modify rational choice theory with behavioral assumptions. Within psychology, researchers are debating assumptions about errors for many different definitions of rationality. Alternative frameworks are being proposed. These frameworks view decisions as more reasonable and adaptive than previously thought. For example, “rule following.” Rule following, which occurs when a rule or norm is applied to a situation, often minimizes effort and provides satisfying solutions that are “good enough,” though not necessarily the best. When rules are ambiguous, people look for reasons to guide their decisions. They may also let their emotions take charge. This chapter presents recent research on judgment and decision making from traditional and alternative frameworks.Keywords
This publication has 193 references indexed in Scilit:
- Decision making under ignorance: Arguing with yourselfJournal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1995
- The Overconfidence Phenomenon as a Consequence of Informal Experimenter-Guided Selection of Almanac ItemsOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1994
- Representations of Risk JudgmentsOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1994
- Determinants of stated willingness to pay for public goods: A study in the headline methodJournal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1994
- Who Uses the Cost-Benefit Rules of Choice? Implications for the Normative Status of Microeconomic TheoryOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1993
- Reasons for Framing EffectsOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1993
- Framing effects in the evaluation of multiple risk reductionJournal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1993
- Determinants of risk-taking: Behavioral and economic viewsJournal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1993
- Preference reversals and the measurement of environmental valuesJournal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1993
- Base Rates in Bayesian Inference: Signal Detection Analysis of the Cab ProblemThe American Journal of Psychology, 1983