Using Trend Theory to Explain Heroin Use Trends
- 6 September 2001
- journal article
- review article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Psychoactive Drugs
- Vol. 33 (3) , 203-211
- https://doi.org/10.1080/02791072.2001.10400567
Abstract
Trend theory is an effort to integrate histories of populations and distribution systems to explain the key epidemiological question: why do these people in this place at this time experience a rapid increase in heroin use? The theory grew out of work on heroin trends in the Baltimore metropolitan area, specifically on epidemics among urban African-Americans in the 1960s and among suburban white youth in the 1990s. This overview represents trend theory as an instance of agent-based adaptive models characteristic of complexity theory.Keywords
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