Measuring Military Allocations

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Abstract
This study investigates the validity of different indicators of resources allocated to the military that are commonly used in conflict research. The various indicators are first described and then evaluated on four criteria for face validity. The convergent, discriminant, and predictive validity are then assessed according to the results of various statistical tests. A common hypothesis that conflict involving “overallocating” states is more likely to escalate to war is examined using all indicators under consideration. Implications and suggestions for conflict research are discussed in the conclusion.

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