Forecasting of Cloud-to-Ground Discharge by SAFIR

Abstract
The possibility of forecasting cloud-to-ground discharges is investigated. It is empirically well known that the cloud-to-ground discharges occasionally follow the cloud discharges, and the objective of this paper is to convince if it is true or false using the SAFIR data for a couple of years. Since the development of thunderclouds is going together the movement of its active area, the coordinate fixed to the moving thunderclouds is applied for the analysis. The analyzed results suggests that the possibility of forecasting cloud-to-ground discharges in tens minutes advance for both summer and winter thunderstorms.

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