Error Analysis of Econometric Load Forecasting Models

1 March 1979

journal article
Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems

Vol. PAS-98 (2) , 393-399
https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAS.1979.319330

Abstract

A technique for the statistical analyses of errors in the forecasts produced by econometric forecasting models is described and applied to a realistic model for annual electric energy sales. The technique considers uncertainties in the model parameters as well as in the exogenous (input) variables.

Keywords

ERROR ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRICS
LOAD FORECASTING
LOAD MODELING
PREDICTIVE MODELS
ECONOMIC FORECASTING
DEMAND FORECASTING
MARKETING AND SALES
TESTING
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

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