Abstract
In quantal bioassay, doses x 1, …, xk of a test substance are administered to n 1, …, nk animal subjects. Let II(x) denote the probability that an arbitrary subject responds in a specified way to a dose x. In this article we consider maximum likelihood estimation of II(x 1), …, II(xk ) subject to the constraint that II is sigmoid. Of particular interest is the nature of II at very small x. Upper confidence bounds for II(x), xx 1, are discussed. These confidence bounds depend on an inequality that holds when II is convex on [0, x 1]. A test of concavity against the alternative under sigmoidicity, and related tests are discussed. Rejecting concavity requires evidence that II is convex on [0, x 1].

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