Abstract
Attempts to estimate the effects of dietary cholesterol on serum cholesterol by meta-analysis have not previously included baseline together with added dietary cholesterol in a mathematical model. Mean reported changes in serum cholesterol from 27 studies in which controlled diets were supplied by a metabolic kitchen provided 76 data points, each weighted by the number of subjects in nonlinear regression. A good fit to the data (P < 0.0005, and r = 0.617 between observed and predicted points) was given by the equation y = 1.22(e−0.00384x0) (1 − e−0.00136x) where y is the change in serum cholesterol (in mmol/L), x is added dietary cholesterol, and x0 is baseline dietary cholesterol (both in mg/d). Possible reasons for the hyperbolic shape of the relationship between change in serum cholesterol and added dietary cholesterol, mechanisms for individual responsiveness to dietary cholesterol, and important implications regarding interpretation of prior studies and public health issues are discussed.