The Association between El Niño/Southern Oscillation Events and Typhoons in the Marshall Islands
- 1 September 1995
- Vol. 19 (3) , 194-197
- https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7717.1995.tb00339.x
Abstract
An analysis of the historic record of typhoons in the Marshall Islands has identified a significant association between the occurrence of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon (ENSO) and the occurrence of typhoons in the Marshall Islands. Whilst typhoons normally occur further to the east, the warming of the ocean waters around the Marshall Islands, as part of the ENSO phenomenon, generates typhoons further to the west. The results suggest that typhoons are 2.6 times more likely to occur during ENSO years, with a 71 per cent chance of a typhoon striking during an ENSO year, and only a 26 per cent chance of one happening during a non-ENSO year. This has implications for planning and public safety, which the relevant authorities may wish to take note of.Keywords
This publication has 6 references indexed in Scilit:
- Australian region tropical cyclones and the greenhouse effectPublished by Brill ,1988
- The dependence of hurricane intensity on climateNature, 1987
- Lagged Relations between the Southern Oscillation and Numbers of Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific RegionMonthly Weather Review, 1986
- Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data Via the EM AlgorithmJournal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 1977
- Tropical Storm Frequencies Related to Sea Surface TemperaturesJournal of Applied Meteorology, 1977
- Linear Statistical Inference and its ApplicationsPublished by Wiley ,1973