Dynamical resonance can account for seasonality of influenza epidemics
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- 19 November 2004
- journal article
- Published by Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Vol. 101 (48) , 16915-16916
- https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0407293101
Abstract
Influenza incidence exhibits strong seasonal fluctuations in temperate regions throughout the world, concentrating the mortality and morbidity burden of the disease into a few months each year. The cause of influenza's seasonality has remained elusive. Here we show that the large oscillations in incidence may be caused by undetectably small seasonal changes in the influenza transmission rate that are amplified by dynamical resonance.This publication has 11 references indexed in Scilit:
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