Abstract
This chapter explores a new account of the difference between logical compatibility and inductive confirmation. No amount of past evidence ensures any conclusion about the future. Nevertheless, certain potential generalizations are reliable adopted, and others ignored with conflicting predictions. This selection and its lack of basis in logic is well recognized in philosophy, where it is termed the problem of induction. However, the problem of induction is of concern not only for philosophers, but also for psychologists and cognitive scientists. In any scientific account of human inductive behaviour, reliable experimental results should be deducible from the experimental conditions.

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