Abstract
This paper presents the technique of future forecasting through the development of a scenario based on the process of certification. The paper focuses on the demands of consumer groups, influence of world events, actions taken by Government, and developments within medicine, nursing and occupational therapy through the presentation of a scenario which spans the years 1983–2000. No claim is made that the contents of the scenario will become reality. Rather, the technique is presented as another tool that could be used by the profession in the development of future plans and policies.

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