Bayesian Forecasting for Complex Systems Using Computer Simulators
- 1 June 2001
- journal article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of the American Statistical Association
- Vol. 96 (454) , 717-729
- https://doi.org/10.1198/016214501753168370
Abstract
Although computer models are often used for forecasting future outcomes of complex systems, the uncertainties in such forecasts are not usually treated formally. We describe a general Bayesian appr...Keywords
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