Understanding How Others Treat Crises: A Multimethod Approach

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Abstract
In this paper, we apply an ensemble of research methods to study the crisis perceptions and behavior of the People's Republic of China. The results suggest two important desiderata with regard to analysis for improving crisis forecasting and management. First, we should not automatically assume that decision-makers in different countries share homogeneous views about the origin and development of crises and about appropriate measures for resolving them. Thus, effective crisis forecasting and management requires a sound understanding of one's potential allies and adversaries. Second, a multimethod research strategy is more likely to generate rich and reliable policy-relevant findings. This is especially true in the analysis of national decision systems with restricted information access, as in the case of China.

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