Abstract
Larval sea lampreys of immediate premetamorphic size (at least 120 mm and 3.0 g) were subjected to ambient or constant 21 °C temperature regimes for 9 months to investigate the influence of temperature and a fall condition factor (CF) of 1.50 or greater on the incidence of metamorphosis the following summer. The incidence of metamorphosis was 53% in the ambient temperature regime (29/55) and only 2% (1/55) in the constant temperature regime. About 64% (7/11) of the presumptively metamorphic larvae in the ambient temperature regime entered metamorphosis compared with 10% (1/10) in the constant temperature regime. Our predictions of metamorphosis based on CF were consistent with the observation that seven presumptively metamorphic larvae (CF ≥ 1.50) metamorphosed in the ambient temperature regime and that there was no metamorphosis among presumptively nonmetamorphic larvae in the constant temperature regime. Significantly more presumptively nonmetamorphic larvae in the ambient regime entered metamorphosis and fewer presumptively metamorphic larvae (CF < 1.50) metamorphosed in the constant temperature regime than expected. We attribute this response to the effects of temperature on metabolic processes. Larval sea lampreys of the appropriate size (≥ 120 mm and ≥ 3.0 g) with a CF of 1.50 or greater in the fall will usually enter metamorphosis the following July, but the accuracy of these predictions may be improved in some populations by using an empirically determined CF criterion that reflects seasonal or population differences in mass–length relationships.

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