Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper)
Top Cited Papers
Open Access
- 1 September 2006
- journal article
- Published by Institute of Mathematical Statistics in Bayesian Analysis
- Vol. 1 (3) , 515-534
- https://doi.org/10.1214/06-ba117a
Abstract
Various noninformative prior distributions have been suggested for scale parameters in hierarchical models. We construct a new folded-noncentral-$t$ family of conditionally conjugate priors for hierarchical standard deviation parameters, and then consider noninformative and weakly informative priors in this family. We use an example to illustrate serious problems with the inverse-gamma family of "noninformative" prior distributions. We suggest instead to use a uniform prior on the hierarchical standard deviation, using the half-$t$ family when the number of groups is small and in other settings where a weakly informative prior is desired. We also illustrate the use of the half-$t$ family for hierarchical modeling of multiple variance parameters such as arise in the analysis of variance.Keywords
This publication has 16 references indexed in Scilit:
- A comparison of Bayesian and likelihood-based methods for fitting multilevel modelsBayesian Analysis, 2006
- Analysis of variance—why it is more important than everThe Annals of Statistics, 2005
- Parameterization and Bayesian ModelingJournal of the American Statistical Association, 2004
- Single observation unbiased priorsThe Annals of Statistics, 2002
- Nonconjugate Bayesian Estimation of Covariance Matrices and its Use in Hierarchical ModelsJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1999
- Parameter expansion to accelerate EM: the PX-EM algorithmBiometrika, 1998
- Bayes FactorsJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1995
- Sampling and Bayes' Inference in Scientific Modelling and RobustnessJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), 1980
- Formal Bayes Estimation with Application to a Random Effects ModelThe Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1971
- A Note on Bayes EstimatesThe Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1967