Malaria and Mortality
- 1 June 1977
- journal article
- research article
- Published by JSTOR in Journal of the American Statistical Association
- Vol. 72 (358) , 257
- https://doi.org/10.2307/2286786
Abstract
Controversy has arisen concerning the extent near eradication of malaria affects mortality in tropical countries. Guesses of malaria's contribution to the classic fall in mortality in post-war Sri Lanka have varied from zero to 100 percent, while more serious estimates range from 21 percent (Gray 1974) to 48 percent (Newman 1965, 1970). In this article a general model is devised in which the previous estimating equations may be embedded. The Box-Cox approach to nonlinear regression analysis is then used to estimate close approximations to this model. The method yields a “best” estimate of 44 percent but also yields fairly wide margins of error.Keywords
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