The Justification of Induction
- 1 December 1992
- journal article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Philosophy of Science
- Vol. 59 (4) , 527-539
- https://doi.org/10.1086/289693
Abstract
We show there is only one consistent way to update a probability assignment, that given by Bayes's rule. The price of inconsistent updating is a loss of efficiency. The implications of this for the problem of induction are discussed.Keywords
This publication has 9 references indexed in Scilit:
- Discussion: The Total Evidence Theorem for Probability KinematicsPhilosophy of Science, 1989
- A Logic of Information SystemsPublished by Springer Nature ,1988
- Philosophy of Science NaturalizedPhilosophy of Science, 1985
- Applying the Jeffrey decision model to rational betting and information acquisitionTheory and Decision, 1980
- Conditionalization and Expected UtilityPhilosophy of Science, 1976
- On the Principle of Total EvidenceThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 1967
- Admissible Probability Measurement ProceduresPsychometrika, 1966
- Probability, Frequency and Reasonable ExpectationAmerican Journal of Physics, 1946
- On Inductive LogicPhilosophy of Science, 1945