The Effect of Surge on System Availability

Abstract
This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the effect of a surge on the availability of a series production system (line), a problem of interest to many industrial engineers. Recursive equations are developed to estimate the expected surge protection prior to equipment failure. This expected surge protection can be used to obtain equivalent component lifetimes (time between failures) and repair times, and thus evaluate the effect of surge on the system. The recursive equations for the case of exponentially distributed lifetimes and Erlang distributed repair times are presented and employed in a numerical example.

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