Percolation theory on directed graphs

Abstract
The pair connectivity Puv of a directed graph G between vertices u and v is the probability that there is a path from u to v when each edge and vertex has a given probability of being deleted, deletions being made independently. We consider the coefficient d⃗ in the expansion Puv(G) = ΣA′⊇A d⃗ uv(G′) ΠaεApa ΠwεVpw, where A and V are respectively the arc and vertex sets of G, and pa(pw) is the probability that the arc a (vertex w) is not deleted. G′ is the arc set A′ together with its set of incident vertices V′. It is shown that d⃗ uv(G′) is nonzero if and only if G′ is coverable by some set of (directed) paths from u to v and has no circuit. When these conditions are satisfied, d⃗ uv(G′) = (−1)tuv+1 where the number of independent paths from u to v is tuv. Moreover, tuv is shown to have the value of ν (G)+1, ν (G) being the cyclomatic number of the graph G.

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