Racial and Ethnic Succession in Four Cities

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Abstract
The concept of succession is well established in both ecological and economic models of urban residential change, yet much remains unknown about the determinants of succession in urban neighborhoods. Employing longitudinal census tract data for four cities, this article predicts racial composition of neighborhoods as a function of earlier-period racial, ethnic, socioeconomic, and physical characteristics. There is support for aspects of the ecological and filtering models of succession, although many elements of the process are not generally applicable across time and place.