2019-novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV): estimating the case fatality rate – a word of caution
Top Cited Papers
Open Access
- 7 February 2020
- journal article
- editorial
- Published by SMW Supporting Association in Swiss Medical Weekly
- Vol. 150 (0506) , w20203
- https://doi.org/10.4414/smw.2020.20203
Abstract
Estimating and predicting the extent and lethality of the 2019-Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak, originating in Wuhan/China is obviously challenging, reflected by many controversial statements and reports. At present, it is tempting to estimate the case fatality rate by dividing the number of known deaths by the number of confirmed cases. The resulting number, however, does not represent the true case fatality rate and might be off by orders of magnitude.This publication has 4 references indexed in Scilit:
- Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected PneumoniaNew England Journal of Medicine, 2020
- A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in ChinaNature, 2020
- Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, ChinaThe Lancet, 2020
- Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling studyThe Lancet, 2020