Problems of measuring changes in poverty over time: the case of Uganda 1989-1992

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Abstract
Official reports on household surveys of Uganda in 1989 and 1992 record an increase in consumption much smaller than the rise in the CPI. Use of alternative price deflation and correction for sampling differences still implies a dramatic collapse in reported real consumption. The decline is claimed to be spurious, given production and other data. It is argued that there was a large increase in recall error, due to the switch from a dedicated list format budget survey to a large integrated survey with open format expenditure questions. Food purchase estimates using shorter recall periods are consistent with this interpretation.
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