Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009
Open Access
- 7 January 2010
- journal article
- Published by Springer Nature in Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling
- Vol. 7 (1) , 1
- https://doi.org/10.1186/1742-4682-7-1
Abstract
In many parts of the world, the exponential growth rate of infections during the initial epidemic phase has been used to make statistical inferences on the reproduction number, R, a summary measure of the transmission potential for the novel influenza A (H1N1) 2009. The growth rate at the initial stage of the epidemic in Japan led to estimates for R in the range 2.0 to 2.6, capturing the intensity of the initial outbreak among school-age children in May 2009.Keywords
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