The Use of Linear-Model Methodology to Rate High School or College Football Teams
- 1 June 1977
- journal article
- research article
- Published by JSTOR in Journal of the American Statistical Association
- Vol. 72 (358) , 278
- https://doi.org/10.2307/2286789
Abstract
A procedure for rating high school or college football teams is developed by applying linear-model methodology to the point spread for each game. The model includes effects for the home-field advantage and for the mean performance levels of the participating teams. The procedure can be modified to use only win-loss information or to ignore victory margins greater than a given margin. When applied to the results of the 1975 college football season, it produced predictions whose accuracy compares favorably with those of sportswriters and bookmakers.Keywords
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