Antarctic precipitation and its contribution to the global sea-level budget

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Abstract
Antarctic precipitation estimations derived from several new sources are examined in comparison to results found previously. The availability of analyzed atmospheric datasets has been a significant and beneficial tool for atmospheric and climate research for a broad range of research interests. This is particularly true for the polar regions, where the observational arrays are sparsely distributed. in high southern latitudes, a comprehensive assimilation of all available observations, including satellite data, is necessary for an accurate depiction of the atmospheric circulation. Recent st udies have found the operational analyses of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts to be superior to those of other weather-forecasting centers in depicting the large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns over Antarctica. “Re-analysis” programs at major weather-forecasting centers have produced atmospheric numerical analyses using a “frozen” data-assimilation system. These projects have also derived precipitation and evaporation fields using an ensemble of short-term forecasts. From these new sources, Antarctic Ρ - E (precipitation minus evaporation/sublimation) is compared and evaluated against the long-term glaciological synthesis, as well as results from previous studies. The comparisons indicate significant regional disagreements exist between P — E from the re-analysis forecasts and the glaciological data. For the ensemble forecasting method, the continental-average evaporation is the largest area of uncertainty and differs by an order of magnitude between the rc-analysis datasets. This finding supports the use of the atmospheric moisture budget for determining P — E collectively in atmospheric diagnostic studies for Antarctica.

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