Demography of the California Spotted Owl in Northeastern California

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Abstract
We estimated age-specific survival (ϕ), fecundity (b), and the finite rate of population change (λ) of California Spotted Owls (Strix occidentalis occidentalis) over a 10-year period (1990–1999). Two hundred nineteen juvenile and 200 subadult or adult owls were banded at 90 sites, with a combined total of 1080 captures. Least-squares mean estimates (± SE) of fecundity (# female fledglings per territorial female) over all years were 0.065 ± 0.066 for subadults (n = 33) and 0.291 ± 0.065 for adults (n = 381). Estimated annual apparent survival probability was 0.333 ± 0.055 for juveniles and 0.827 ± 0.015 for subadults and adults combined. Using these estimates to construct a four-stage projection matrix, the finite rate of population change, λ̂, was 0.910 ± 0.025. This value of λ suggests an annual rate of decline in the territorial population of 9% per year over the period of study. Elasticity analyses showed λ to be most sensitive to variation in adult female survival. However, the standard devia...