Modeling Urban Decline: A Multilevel Economic-Demographic Model for the Dortmund Region
- 1 October 1982
- journal article
- research article
- Published by SAGE Publications in International Regional Science Review
- Vol. 7 (2) , 217-241
- https://doi.org/10.1177/016001768200700207
Abstract
Selected results of a multilevel dynamic simulation model of the economic and demographic development of the urban region of Dortmund are presented. In particular, the capability of the model to capture both urban growth and urban decline processes is illustrated. The mechanisms that control spatial growth, decline, or redistribution of activities in the model are first outlined, and a demonstration of how the model reproduces the general pattern of past spatial development follows. Finally, results of simulations covering a wide range of potential overall economic and demographic development in the region are discussed.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- The Dynamics of Urban Spatial Structure: Some Exploratory Results Using Difference Equations and Bifurcation TheoryEnvironment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 1981
- Testing a Disaggregated Residential Location Model with External Zones in the Amersfoort RegionEnvironment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 1981