A Strategy for the Prediction of Work Release Success

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Abstract
Twenty-one pre-program characteristics were examined on each of 250 adult male felons who had participated in the Work Release Program of the Virginia Department of Corrections. Of these participants 119 were considered to have successfully completed the program (to expiration of sentence or release on parole), and 131 participants were considered to have been unsuccessful (removed from the program due to violations of regulations, new offenses, or escape). Analysis of the data indicated that successful participants could be significantly distinguished from unsuccessful participants on the basis of a linear predictive strategy utilizing eight of the pre-program characteristics. The data were interpreted as being of substantial value in the determination of an individual's suitability for participation in work release. The implications of the present research toward the development of an improved work release participant selection process were discussed.

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