Optimal Estimation of Initial Conditions for Numerical Prediction
Open Access
- 1 November 1965
- journal article
- Published by American Meteorological Society in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
- Vol. 22 (6) , 658-663
- https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1965)022<0658:oeoicf>2.0.co;2
Abstract
A numerical-statistical forecasting method is presented in which statistical techniques art used on the errors of numerical predictions. This, in effect, uses earlier numerical predictions to obtain best estimates of the initial conditions. A technique is given whereby the method can be applied by estimating the necessary parameters, and it is shown that this procedure converges to the optimal estimate.Keywords
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