Streaks in skilled performance
Open Access
- 1 June 1995
- journal article
- Published by Springer Nature in Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
- Vol. 2 (2) , 260-265
- https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03210967
Abstract
Experiments in golf putting and darts demonstrated that skilled performance is streaky. The tendency for outcome sequences to form streaks was greatest when the task difficulty was such that about half the trials were successful. Mixtures of the two activities were also streaky, even when periodic interruption made the individual components resemble a random Bernoulli process. Formal models of sequence structure revealed that waves in hit rate are associated with the appearance of streaks.Keywords
This publication has 6 references indexed in Scilit:
- On the Nature of Streaks in Signal DetectionCognitive Psychology, 1995
- It's Okay to Believe in the “Hot Hand”CHANCE, 1989
- The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequencesCognitive Psychology, 1985
- Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and BiasesScience, 1974
- Belief in the law of small numbers.Psychological Bulletin, 1971
- 'Fluctuations of Attention' with Weak Visual StimuliThe American Journal of Psychology, 1927