Natural Course of Moderate Cardiac Allograft Rejection (International Society for Heart Transplantation Grade 2) Early and Late After Transplantation
- 15 September 1996
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Circulation
- Vol. 94 (6) , 1334-1338
- https://doi.org/10.1161/01.cir.94.6.1334
Abstract
Background The significance of International Society for Heart Transplantation (ISHT) grade 2 cardiac allograft rejection has been questioned, and the medical community is not in complete agreement as to its clinical management. We therefore retrospectively analyzed the follow-up of all available endomyocardial biopsy samples obtained from 161 transplant patients since introduction of the ISHT nomenclature at our institution. Methods and Results Of 2868 biopsies performed 3 days to 8.9 years after transplantation, 420 biopsies had no follow-up or were preceded by intensified immunosuppression and were excluded from analysis. Of the remaining 2448 biopsies, 374 (15.3%) were repeat biopsies performed 7 to 10 days after prior ISHT 2 rejection without change of treatment. Of these, 70 (18.7%) had progressed to ≥ISHT 3A, whereas 82 (21.9%) remained unchanged and 222 (59.4%) resolved. In contrast, follow-up of 2074 biopsies with lower-grade rejection showed graft rejection classified as ≥ISHT 3A in 153 (7.4%), ISHT 2 in 240 (11.6%), and ≤ISHT 1B in 1681 (81.1%) biopsy samples ( P <.0001). In univariate analysis, the odds ratio (OR) of graft rejection ≥ISHT 3A after ISHT 2 rejection was 2.89. Other univariate predictors of rejection ≥ISHT 3A were time after transplantation (OR=0.96 per month, P <.0001), blood group type B (OR=1.62, P <.005), “Quilty” lesion on previous biopsy (OR=1.70, P <.005), number of HLA mismatches (OR=1.27 per mismatch, P <.005), female sex (OR=1.55, P <.05), and serum creatinine level (OR=0.93 per 10 μmol/L, P <.005). Young age of recipients was a risk factor during long-term (≥2 years) follow-up ( P <.002), and lower cyclosporine level was a risk factor during the first month after transplantation ( P <.01). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, ISHT 2 rejection on previous biopsy remained the strongest predictor of rejection ≥ISHT 3A (OR=2.40, P <.0001). Conclusions Several factors independently increase the risk of rejection classified as ≥ISHT 3A. The strongest predictor of a grade of ≥ISHT 3A was ISHT 2 rejection on the previous biopsy obtained 7 to 10 days earlier. Therefore, ISHT 2 graft rejection is of clinical significance, and short-term follow-up appears to be warranted even late after transplantation.Keywords
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