The maximum size of a closed epidemic
- 1 March 1974
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Advances in Applied Probability
- Vol. 6 (04) , 607-621
- https://doi.org/10.1017/s0001867800028470
Abstract
An approximation is found to the distribution of the maximum number of infectives present at any time during the course of a closed epidemic. The technique used is applicable to a commonly occurring type of random walk problem where there is a curved absorbing boundary which is far from the mean path except over a narrow range.Keywords
This publication has 3 references indexed in Scilit:
- The principle of the diffusion of arbitrary constantsJournal of Applied Probability, 1972
- The Asymptotic Analysis of a Stochastic Model of an EpidemicTheory of Probability and Its Applications, 1970
- The statistical theory of the strength of bundles of threads. IProceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 1945