A Geometrical Approach to Conflict Probability Estimation
- 1 April 2002
- journal article
- Published by American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) in Air Traffic Control Quarterly
- Vol. 10 (2) , 85-113
- https://doi.org/10.2514/atcq.10.2.85
Abstract
A method of estimating conflict probability is described. Initially the method is presented considering only along-track errors but subsequently cross-track errors are included. Graphs of conflict probability illustrate limits on the levels of performance that may be attained in medium-term conflict detection and resolution (in the absence of measures to reduce along-track errors). It is shown that, under certain assumptions, the minimum displacement of one aircraft from the other has a normal distribution, and that the minimum distance between them has a folded normal distribution.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- A simplified approach to conflict probability estimationPublished by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) ,2002
- Conflict Probability Estimation Generalized to Non-Level FlightAir Traffic Control Quarterly, 1999