The estimation of the prevalence of delinquency: Two approaches and a correction of the literature†

Abstract
The index “the proportion of a cohort that have become delinquent by a given age,” here called the “prevalence of delinquency,” is an important social indicator. In the present paper, we indicate methods by which this index can be estimated from data, and correct errors in previous sex‐ and race‐specific prevalence estimates published by Monahan (1960) for the city of Philadelphia. The difference between the sexes and between the races shown by these corrected prevalence estimates are of sufficient magnitude to render suspect any comparisons of prevalences of delinquency among cohorts which do not take account of the sex and race compositions of the cohorts to be compared.

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