Some Bayes Estimates of Long-Run Availability in a Two-State System

1 November 1969

journal article
Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Reliability

Vol. R-18 (4) , 184-189
https://doi.org/10.1109/TR.1969.5216349

Abstract

Some Bayes estimates are obtained of an index of performance of a system that alternates between two states, up or down, in accordance with a Markov process. The index considered is long-run availability, which measures the probability that the system will be up when needed. For the purpose of obtaining these estimates, two types of observations are considered: those that reveal only the state of system at isolated time points and those that continuously record the duration of the up and down times of the system.

Keywords

This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:

Statistical estimation in a problem of system reliability
Naval Research Logistics Quarterly, 1967
A Note on the Analysis of a Type of Reliability Trial
SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 1966