ASSESSMENT OF PROGNOSTIC FACTORS AND PROJECTION OF OUTCOMES IN RENAL TRANSPLANTATION

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Abstract
Analysis of data on renal transplantation collected in two large multicenter observational studies resulted in the concordant identification of five factors that correlated highly and at a substantial level of statistical significance with the outcome of unrelated cadaveric donor transplantation (i.e., they were associated with differences in one-year graft survivals of 0.07–0.21 and P values 45 years) of the recipient was associated with reduced graft survival in both studies, analysis by means of the model failed to detect a significant correlation between the recipient's age and the outcome in one of the studies because the relation was not monotonic. In an illustration of their utility in the detailed assessment of performance, the prognostic factors were found to substantially account for the markedly superior results at one center and partly for lower graft survivals at another. These prognostic factors may be used to predict probable outcomes for populations and for individual patients subjected to particular arrays of conditioning strategies.