Election Predictions: An Empirical Assessment
- 1 January 1986
- journal article
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in Public Opinion Quarterly
- Vol. 50 (2) , 222-227
- https://doi.org/10.1086/268976
Abstract
Examination of 155 poll forecasts in 68 national elections since 1949 shows that errors average nearly twice what statistical theory would indicate.Keywords
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